Do You Think the NASDAQ Will Be Fully Recovered By the End of the Year? - nasdaq 2400
Say that again recovered to the average level before the fall, which represents around 2,400 points. In the past month and a half about 400 points in the crash of 1100 has, which is about 35% loss recovery. Do you believe that the Nasdaq could fall to 2008 levels by the end of 2009?
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Nasdaq 2400 Do You Think The NASDAQ Will Be Fully Recovered By The End Of The Year?
4 comments:
Absolutely not.
I'll take the other side of this trade for years, perhaps a decade or more.
I understand that you are new markets and investments?
Please let me offer a free education and rapid
Mathematics and analysis of the problem is not entirely accurate.
The reality is that the Nasdaq at 5132.52 reached on 03 / 10/2000 and has never seen the number of 9 years and counting. This is the "pre-crash level, and not 2400 my friend.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bub ...
I called the most important market in the week of March 3, 2000, while working in a Wall Street firm at this time (that's another story).
Then, NASDAQ has not recovered crashed in the past year and a half, but just not the case, "mobile" in 2000.
The Nasdaq is off 34.72% from June 5, 2008, his last "peak" if you want. And if my calculations are correct, it seems that the Nasdaq increased by about 66.67% of the level it had reached in June 2008.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echArt? QQQQ # s = ...
It can not happen soon.
To the true "pre-crash level," I think about NASDAQ have increased almost 2100% and reached equilibrium at the 10th March 2000 level.
Current NASDAQ 1656 - early 5132 = 3476. Nasdaq is still down 67% from the index after 9 years.
Now calculate the time required to reach pre-2000 levels of shock:
Take advantage of the number of points when the Nasdaq dropped from its peak (3476 points) and divide by the current (1656), and I get rounded) 2099, or 2.100% (- the motion NASDAQ percent must reach its preparation -- Crash-2000 level.
It can not happen soon. And this can not happen in our lives.
FYI:
Table QQQQ
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=QQQQ # ...
NASDAQ have the opportunity to once again have his previous accident (2000, not 2008) levels, lost some time after the housing market with all the values, in other words, not by a long, long time. The Nasdaq technology stocks weighed and high-tech in 2000, of the irrationality associated with the tulip bubble in the Netherlands, strengthened the competition. Any company with the "e-procurement" or the Internet to his name through the roof, often without revenues, earnings, much less. I use the NASDAQ index, the daily performance on high-tech sector to measure, but little has placed in him beyond that.
No, I personally believe that it will take several years to recover completely.
No less. Perhaps the end of 2012.
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